WTPS51 PGTW 011500 WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 190101135251 2019010112 08P PENNY 007 01 100 07 SATL 055 T000 127S 1430E 035 R034 115 NE QD 070 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD T012 129S 1455E 040 R034 180 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 190 NW QD T024 134S 1484E 050 R050 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 160 SE QD 110 SW QD 190 NW QD T036 142S 1518E 055 R050 070 NE QD 010 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 200 SE QD 130 SW QD 210 NW QD T048 150S 1546E 060 R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 160 SW QD 180 NW QD T072 165S 1567E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 130 NW QD T096 179S 1550E 055 R050 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 170 SE QD 130 SW QD 090 NW QD T120 195S 1526E 045 R034 060 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 050 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (PENNY) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z --- NEAR 12.7S 143.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.7S 143.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 12.9S 145.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 13.4S 148.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 14.2S 151.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 15.0S 154.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 16.5S 156.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 17.9S 155.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 19.5S 152.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 011500Z POSITION NEAR 12.7S 143.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (PENNY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z.// 0818122812 115S1448E 25 0818122818 118S1448E 25 0818122900 122S1448E 25 0818122906 124S1447E 25 0818122912 126S1446E 25 0818122918 129S1443E 25 0818123000 135S1439E 25 0818123006 133S1426E 25 0818123012 132S1417E 25 0818123018 130S1407E 30 0818123100 128S1396E 35 0818123106 125S1393E 35 0818123112 125S1402E 35 0818123118 125S1407E 35 0819010100 125S1411E 40 0819010106 126S1423E 40 0819010112 127S1430E 35 NNNN