WTPS51 PGTW 030900 WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 190103083138 2019010306 08P PENNY 014 02 120 15 SATL 040 T000 150S 1537E 040 R034 165 NE QD 100 SE QD 125 SW QD 140 NW QD T012 157S 1554E 045 R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD T024 160S 1561E 050 R050 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 120 NW QD T036 163S 1561E 055 R050 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD T048 164S 1557E 055 R050 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 020 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD T072 164S 1553E 050 R050 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 020 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD T096 164S 1544E 045 R034 020 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD T120 165S 1531E 040 R034 035 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 055 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (PENNY) WARNING NR 014 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (PENNY) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z --- NEAR 15.0S 153.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S 153.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 15.7S 155.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 16.0S 156.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 16.3S 156.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 16.4S 155.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 16.4S 155.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 16.4S 154.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 16.5S 153.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 030900Z POSITION NEAR 15.2S 154.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (PENNY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 470 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z, 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // 0818122812 115S1448E 25 0818122818 118S1448E 25 0818122900 122S1448E 25 0818122906 124S1447E 25 0818122912 126S1446E 25 0818122918 129S1443E 25 0818123000 135S1439E 25 0818123006 133S1426E 25 0818123012 132S1417E 25 0818123018 130S1407E 30 0818123100 128S1396E 35 0818123106 125S1393E 35 0818123112 125S1402E 35 0818123118 125S1407E 35 0819010100 125S1411E 40 0819010106 126S1423E 40 0819010112 128S1430E 35 0819010118 129S1436E 30 0819010200 128S1443E 35 0819010206 130S1460E 40 0819010212 132S1478E 45 0819010218 136S1502E 50 0819010300 143S1523E 40 0819010306 150S1537E 40 NNNN