WTPS51 PGTW 041500 WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 190104141131 2019010412 08P PENNY 019 02 225 01 SATL 040 T000 161S 1559E 045 R034 100 NE QD 150 SE QD 175 SW QD 110 NW QD T012 161S 1557E 045 R034 070 NE QD 140 SE QD 150 SW QD 070 NW QD T024 162S 1552E 045 R034 055 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 055 NW QD T036 163S 1543E 045 R034 050 NE QD 105 SE QD 105 SW QD 050 NW QD T048 164S 1533E 045 R034 045 NE QD 075 SE QD 080 SW QD 055 NW QD T072 166S 1511E 040 R034 030 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD T096 165S 1491E 035 R034 010 NE QD 045 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD T120 162S 1471E 035 R034 000 NE QD 065 SE QD 080 SW QD 000 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (PENNY) WARNING NR 019 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (PENNY) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z --- NEAR 16.1S 155.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S 155.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 16.1S 155.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 16.2S 155.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 16.3S 154.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 16.4S 153.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 16.6S 151.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 16.5S 149.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 16.2S 147.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 041500Z POSITION NEAR 16.1S 155.9E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (PENNY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 583 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z, 050300Z, 050900Z AND 051500Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // 0818122812 115S1448E 25 0818122818 118S1448E 25 0818122900 122S1448E 25 0818122906 124S1447E 25 0818122912 126S1446E 25 0818122918 129S1443E 25 0818123000 135S1439E 25 0818123006 133S1426E 25 0818123012 132S1417E 25 0818123018 130S1407E 30 0818123100 128S1396E 35 0818123106 125S1393E 35 0818123112 125S1402E 35 0818123118 125S1407E 35 0819010100 125S1411E 40 0819010106 126S1423E 40 0819010112 128S1430E 35 0819010118 129S1436E 30 0819010200 128S1443E 35 0819010206 130S1460E 40 0819010212 132S1478E 45 0819010218 136S1502E 50 0819010300 143S1523E 40 0819010306 149S1537E 40 0819010312 153S1548E 50 0819010312 153S1548E 50 0819010318 157S1555E 55 0819010318 157S1555E 55 0819010400 160S1559E 55 0819010400 160S1559E 55 0819010406 160S1560E 50 0819010406 160S1560E 50 0819010412 161S1559E 45 NNNN