WTPS51 PGTW 052100 WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 190105201719 2019010518 08P PENNY 024 02 190 05 SATL 045 T000 164S 1560E 045 R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 125 SW QD 060 NW QD T012 166S 1553E 050 R034 010 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD T024 170S 1541E 050 R034 020 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 020 NW QD T036 173S 1526E 045 R034 020 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 020 NW QD T048 176S 1513E 045 R034 020 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 020 NW QD T072 175S 1494E 040 R034 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 060 SW QD 020 NW QD T096 168S 1473E 035 R034 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD T120 158S 1447E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (PENNY) WARNING NR 024 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (PENNY) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z --- NEAR 16.4S 156.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S 156.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 16.6S 155.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 17.0S 154.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 17.3S 152.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 17.6S 151.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 17.5S 149.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 16.8S 147.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 15.8S 144.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 052100Z POSITION NEAR 16.5S 155.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (PENNY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 587 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // 0818122812 115S1448E 25 0818122818 118S1448E 25 0818122900 122S1448E 25 0818122906 124S1447E 25 0818122912 126S1446E 25 0818122918 129S1443E 25 0818123000 135S1439E 25 0818123006 133S1426E 25 0818123012 132S1417E 25 0818123018 130S1407E 30 0818123100 128S1396E 35 0818123106 125S1393E 35 0818123112 125S1402E 35 0818123118 125S1407E 35 0819010100 125S1411E 40 0819010106 126S1423E 40 0819010112 128S1430E 35 0819010118 129S1436E 30 0819010200 128S1443E 35 0819010206 130S1460E 40 0819010212 132S1478E 45 0819010218 136S1502E 50 0819010300 143S1523E 40 0819010306 149S1537E 40 0819010312 153S1548E 50 0819010312 153S1548E 50 0819010318 157S1555E 55 0819010318 157S1555E 55 0819010400 160S1559E 55 0819010400 160S1559E 55 0819010406 160S1560E 50 0819010406 160S1560E 50 0819010412 161S1559E 45 0819010418 159S1559E 45 0819010500 158S1555E 40 0819010506 157S1558E 40 0819010512 159S1561E 40 0819010518 164S1560E 45 NNNN