WTPS51 PGTW 070900 WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 190107075109 2019010706 08P PENNY 030 02 245 07 SATL SYNP 040 T000 181S 1523E 040 R034 055 NE QD 070 SE QD 090 SW QD 045 NW QD T012 186S 1507E 040 R034 020 NE QD 070 SE QD 075 SW QD 035 NW QD T024 190S 1493E 040 R034 000 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 190S 1482E 040 R034 000 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD T048 188S 1471E 040 R034 000 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD T072 174S 1443E 030 AMP 072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (PENNY) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z --- NEAR 18.1S 152.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S 152.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 18.6S 150.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 19.0S 149.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 19.0S 148.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 18.8S 147.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 17.4S 144.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 070900Z POSITION NEAR 18.2S 151.9E. 0818122812 115S1448E 25 0818122818 118S1448E 25 0818122900 122S1448E 25 0818122906 124S1447E 25 0818122912 126S1446E 25 0818122918 129S1443E 25 0818123000 135S1439E 25 0818123006 133S1426E 25 0818123012 132S1417E 25 0818123018 130S1407E 30 0818123100 128S1396E 35 0818123106 125S1393E 35 0818123112 125S1402E 35 0818123118 125S1407E 35 0819010100 125S1411E 40 0819010106 126S1423E 40 0819010112 128S1430E 35 0819010118 129S1436E 30 0819010200 128S1443E 35 0819010206 130S1460E 40 0819010212 132S1478E 45 0819010218 136S1502E 50 0819010300 143S1523E 40 0819010306 149S1537E 40 0819010312 153S1548E 50 0819010312 153S1548E 50 0819010318 157S1555E 55 0819010318 157S1555E 55 0819010400 160S1559E 55 0819010400 160S1559E 55 0819010406 160S1560E 50 0819010406 160S1560E 50 0819010412 161S1559E 45 0819010418 159S1559E 45 0819010500 158S1555E 40 0819010506 157S1558E 40 0819010512 159S1561E 40 0819010518 166S1557E 40 0819010600 171S1550E 40 0819010606 168S1547E 40 0819010612 170S1546E 35 0819010618 176S1540E 35 0819010700 178S1530E 40 0819010706 181S1523E 40 NNNN