WTXS51 PGTW 020300 WARNING ATCG MIL 08S SIO 210102012617 2021010200 08S DANILO 002 01 015 04 SATL 040 T000 108S 0720E 040 R034 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD T012 109S 0727E 045 R034 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 070 NW QD T024 116S 0735E 055 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD T036 128S 0741E 050 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 100 NW QD T048 140S 0743E 045 R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 110 NW QD T072 157S 0741E 045 R034 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD T096 165S 0727E 050 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD T120 169S 0700E 060 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WARNING NR 002 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z --- NEAR 10.8S 72.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8S 72.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 10.9S 72.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 11.6S 73.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 12.8S 74.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 14.0S 74.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 15.7S 74.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 16.5S 72.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 16.9S 70.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 020300Z POSITION NEAR 10.8S 72.2E. 02JAN21. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08S (DANILO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 224 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z, 021500Z, 022100Z AND 030300Z.// 0820122906 104S 705E 20 0820122912 104S 718E 20 0820122918 109S 727E 20 0820123000 114S 728E 20 0820123006 117S 727E 20 0820123012 120S 726E 20 0820123018 121S 723E 25 0820123100 123S 721E 25 0820123106 121S 724E 25 0820123112 119S 725E 25 0820123118 120S 726E 25 0821010100 122S 726E 25 0821010106 120S 722E 30 0821010112 116S 720E 35 0821010118 112S 719E 40 0821010200 108S 720E 40 NNNN