WTXS51 PGTW 040300 WARNING ATCG MIL 08S SIO 210104015742 2021010400 08S DANILO 010 01 150 15 SATL 050 T000 141S 0760E 060 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD T012 151S 0764E 055 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD T024 160S 0765E 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD T036 165S 0761E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD T048 167S 0748E 055 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD T072 164S 0716E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD T096 161S 0678E 070 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD T120 169S 0623E 080 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WARNING NR 010 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z --- NEAR 14.1S 76.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S 76.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 15.1S 76.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 16.0S 76.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 16.5S 76.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 16.7S 74.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 16.4S 71.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 16.1S 67.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 16.9S 62.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 040300Z POSITION NEAR 14.4S 76.1E. 04JAN21. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08S (DANILO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 468 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z AND 050300Z.// 0820122906 104S 705E 20 0820122912 104S 718E 20 0820122918 109S 727E 20 0820123000 114S 728E 20 0820123006 117S 727E 20 0820123012 120S 726E 20 0820123018 121S 723E 25 0820123100 123S 721E 25 0820123106 121S 724E 25 0820123112 119S 725E 25 0820123118 120S 726E 25 0821010100 122S 726E 25 0821010106 120S 722E 30 0821010112 116S 720E 35 0821010118 112S 719E 40 0821010200 109S 720E 40 0821010206 109S 722E 45 0821010212 110S 723E 45 0821010218 111S 724E 45 0821010300 113S 728E 50 0821010300 113S 728E 50 0821010306 115S 734E 55 0821010306 115S 734E 55 0821010312 120S 743E 55 0821010312 120S 743E 55 0821010318 128S 753E 55 0821010318 128S 753E 55 0821010400 141S 760E 60 0821010400 141S 760E 60 NNNN