WTXS51 PGTW 051500 WARNING ATCG MIL 08S SIO 210105122905 2021010512 08S DANILO 013 01 240 06 SATL 020 T000 167S 0760E 070 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 110 SW QD 085 NW QD T012 172S 0751E 070 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD T024 173S 0735E 070 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 020 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 040 NW QD T036 173S 0713E 065 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 020 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 030 NW QD T048 172S 0688E 065 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD T072 173S 0643E 065 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD T096 187S 0604E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD T120 205S 0574E 050 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WARNING NR 013 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z --- NEAR 16.7S 76.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S 76.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 17.2S 75.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 17.3S 73.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 17.3S 71.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 17.2S 68.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 17.3S 64.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 18.7S 60.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 20.5S 57.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 051500Z POSITION NEAR 16.8S 75.8E. 05JAN21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 611 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z AND 061500Z. // 0820122906 104S 705E 20 0820122912 104S 718E 20 0820122918 109S 727E 20 0820123000 114S 728E 20 0820123006 117S 727E 20 0820123012 120S 726E 20 0820123018 121S 723E 25 0820123100 123S 721E 25 0820123106 121S 724E 25 0820123112 119S 725E 25 0820123118 120S 726E 25 0821010100 122S 726E 25 0821010106 120S 722E 30 0821010112 116S 720E 35 0821010118 112S 719E 40 0821010200 109S 720E 40 0821010206 109S 722E 45 0821010212 110S 723E 45 0821010218 111S 724E 45 0821010300 113S 728E 50 0821010300 113S 728E 50 0821010306 115S 734E 55 0821010306 115S 734E 55 0821010312 120S 743E 55 0821010312 120S 743E 55 0821010318 128S 753E 55 0821010318 128S 753E 55 0821010400 138S 758E 55 0821010400 138S 758E 55 0821010406 147S 761E 50 0821010406 147S 761E 50 0821010412 154S 762E 50 0821010412 154S 762E 50 0821010418 157S 763E 50 0821010500 161S 766E 65 0821010500 161S 766E 65 0821010500 161S 766E 65 0821010506 164S 766E 65 0821010506 164S 766E 65 0821010506 164S 766E 65 0821010512 167S 760E 70 0821010512 167S 760E 70 0821010512 167S 760E 70 NNNN