WTXS51 PGTW 061500 WARNING ATCG MIL 08S SIO 210106124945 2021010612 08S DANILO 015 01 270 08 SATL 025 T000 165S 0745E 035 R034 020 NE QD 055 SE QD 060 SW QD 020 NW QD T012 167S 0725E 040 R034 020 NE QD 090 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD T024 169S 0700E 040 R034 010 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD T036 170S 0676E 040 R034 010 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD T048 172S 0654E 040 R034 010 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 020 NW QD T072 182S 0615E 035 R034 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD T096 197S 0583E 035 R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD T120 215S 0555E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WARNING NR 015 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z --- NEAR 16.5S 74.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S 74.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 16.7S 72.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 16.9S 70.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 17.0S 67.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 17.2S 65.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 18.2S 61.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 19.7S 58.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 21.5S 55.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 061500Z POSITION NEAR 16.6S 74.0E. 06JAN21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 576 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z AND 071500Z. // 0820122906 104S 705E 20 0820122912 104S 718E 20 0820122918 109S 727E 20 0820123000 114S 728E 20 0820123006 117S 727E 20 0820123012 120S 726E 20 0820123018 121S 723E 25 0820123100 123S 721E 25 0820123106 121S 724E 25 0820123112 119S 725E 25 0820123118 120S 726E 25 0821010100 122S 726E 25 0821010106 120S 722E 30 0821010112 116S 720E 35 0821010118 112S 719E 40 0821010200 109S 720E 40 0821010206 109S 722E 45 0821010212 110S 723E 45 0821010218 111S 724E 45 0821010300 113S 728E 50 0821010300 113S 728E 50 0821010306 115S 734E 55 0821010306 115S 734E 55 0821010312 120S 743E 55 0821010312 120S 743E 55 0821010318 128S 753E 55 0821010318 128S 753E 55 0821010400 138S 758E 55 0821010400 138S 758E 55 0821010406 147S 761E 50 0821010406 147S 761E 50 0821010412 154S 762E 50 0821010412 154S 762E 50 0821010418 157S 763E 50 0821010500 161S 766E 65 0821010500 161S 766E 65 0821010500 161S 766E 65 0821010506 164S 766E 65 0821010506 164S 766E 65 0821010506 164S 766E 65 0821010512 165S 766E 70 0821010512 165S 766E 70 0821010512 165S 766E 70 0821010518 166S 765E 60 0821010518 166S 765E 60 0821010600 166S 760E 45 0821010606 165S 753E 40 0821010612 165S 745E 35 NNNN