WTXS51 PGTW 202100 WARNING ATCG MIL 10S SIO 190120193020 2019012018 10S DESMOND 004 01 020 05 SATL 045 T000 217S 0391E 045 R034 070 NE QD 140 SE QD 190 SW QD 170 NW QD T012 202S 0387E 050 R050 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 110 SE QD 160 SW QD 120 NW QD T024 188S 0379E 045 R034 020 NE QD 080 SE QD 120 SW QD 070 NW QD T036 178S 0373E 035 R034 030 NE QD 090 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD T048 169S 0367E 030 AMP 036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (DESMOND) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (DESMOND) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z --- NEAR 21.7S 39.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.7S 39.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 20.2S 38.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 18.8S 37.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 17.8S 37.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 16.9S 36.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 202100Z POSITION NEAR 21.3S 39.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10S (DESMOND), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 68 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF EUROPA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z, 210900Z, 211500Z AND 212100Z.// 1019011718 249S 391E 25 1019011800 244S 386E 20 1019011806 239S 380E 25 1019011812 234S 375E 25 1019011818 231S 368E 25 1019011900 236S 369E 25 1019011906 239S 372E 25 1019011912 245S 380E 25 1019011918 242S 383E 30 1019012000 237S 384E 40 1019012006 229S 388E 40 1019012012 222S 389E 40 1019012018 217S 391E 45 NNNN