WTXS51 PGTW 160900 WARNING ATCG MIL 10S SIO 210116082151 2021011606 10S TEN 002 01 260 06 SATL 040 T000 166S 0929E 035 R034 000 NE QD 065 SE QD 075 SW QD 050 NW QD T012 172S 0915E 035 R034 030 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD T024 178S 0902E 040 R034 030 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD T036 183S 0888E 040 R034 030 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD T048 186S 0873E 045 R034 025 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 050 NW QD T072 189S 0842E 045 R034 030 NE QD 065 SE QD 070 SW QD 055 NW QD T096 198S 0791E 040 R034 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD T120 218S 0740E 035 R034 090 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 110 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (TEN) WARNING NR 002 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (TEN) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z --- NEAR 16.6S 92.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S 92.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 17.2S 91.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 17.8S 90.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 18.3S 88.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 18.6S 87.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 18.9S 84.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 19.8S 79.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 21.8S 74.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 160900Z POSITION NEAR 16.8S 92.5E. 16JAN21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1325 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z AND 170900Z. // 1021011212 106S1000E 20 1021011218 111S 996E 20 1021011300 114S 990E 25 1021011306 116S 984E 25 1021011312 118S 979E 30 1021011318 121S 975E 25 1021011400 128S 973E 25 1021011406 135S 969E 25 1021011412 140S 966E 30 1021011418 145S 961E 30 1021011500 149S 958E 30 1021011506 154S 953E 30 1021011512 158S 948E 30 1021011518 162S 942E 35 1021011600 165S 935E 35 1021011606 166S 929E 35 NNNN