WTXS51 PGTW 270300 WARNING ATCG MIL 11S SIO 190127015026 2019012700 11S RILEY 014 01 270 08 SATL 040 T000 178S 1151E 065 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 065 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 115 SE QD 125 SW QD 115 NW QD T012 180S 1130E 070 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD T024 183S 1108E 065 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD T036 186S 1088E 055 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD T048 190S 1073E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD T072 196S 1042E 040 R034 040 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD T096 204S 1009E 035 R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD T120 205S 0978E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (RILEY) WARNING NR 014 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (RILEY) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z --- NEAR 17.8S 115.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S 115.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 18.0S 113.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 18.3S 110.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 18.6S 108.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 19.0S 107.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 19.6S 104.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 20.4S 100.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 20.5S 97.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z POSITION NEAR 17.9S 114.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (RILEY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 276 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z. // 1119012212 121S1261E 20 1119012218 127S1252E 20 1119012300 138S1243E 25 1119012306 147S1237E 30 1119012312 156S1229E 30 1119012318 165S1217E 35 1119012400 167S1208E 40 1119012406 166S1201E 40 1119012412 166S1197E 40 1119012418 167S1193E 45 1119012500 168S1188E 55 1119012500 168S1188E 55 1119012506 169S1182E 60 1119012506 169S1182E 60 1119012512 169S1180E 65 1119012512 169S1180E 65 1119012512 169S1180E 65 1119012518 170S1177E 70 1119012518 170S1177E 70 1119012518 170S1177E 70 1119012600 172S1174E 65 1119012600 172S1174E 65 1119012606 175S1170E 60 1119012606 175S1170E 60 1119012612 177S1165E 55 1119012612 177S1165E 55 1119012618 178S1159E 60 1119012618 178S1159E 60 1119012700 178S1151E 65 1119012700 178S1151E 65 1119012700 178S1151E 65 NNNN