WTXS51 PGTW 271500 WARNING ATCG MIL 11S SIO 190127132130 2019012712 11S RILEY 016 01 260 10 SATL 020 T000 179S 1129E 070 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 115 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD T012 182S 1106E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD T024 185S 1088E 060 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 188S 1074E 050 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 193S 1059E 045 R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD T072 201S 1028E 040 R034 040 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD T096 207S 0999E 035 R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD T120 210S 0971E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (RILEY) WARNING NR 016 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (RILEY) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z --- NEAR 17.9S 112.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S 112.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 18.2S 110.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 18.5S 108.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 18.8S 107.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 19.3S 105.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 20.1S 102.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 20.7S 99.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 21.0S 97.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z POSITION NEAR 18.0S 112.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11S (RILEY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 273 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.// 1119012212 121S1261E 20 1119012218 127S1252E 20 1119012300 138S1243E 25 1119012306 147S1237E 30 1119012312 156S1229E 30 1119012318 165S1217E 35 1119012400 167S1208E 40 1119012406 166S1201E 40 1119012412 166S1197E 40 1119012418 167S1193E 45 1119012500 168S1188E 55 1119012500 168S1188E 55 1119012506 169S1182E 60 1119012506 169S1182E 60 1119012512 169S1180E 65 1119012512 169S1180E 65 1119012512 169S1180E 65 1119012518 170S1177E 70 1119012518 170S1177E 70 1119012518 170S1177E 70 1119012600 172S1174E 65 1119012600 172S1174E 65 1119012606 175S1170E 60 1119012606 175S1170E 60 1119012612 177S1163E 55 1119012612 177S1163E 55 1119012618 176S1156E 60 1119012618 176S1156E 60 1119012700 175S1148E 65 1119012700 175S1148E 65 1119012700 175S1148E 65 1119012706 177S1139E 70 1119012706 177S1139E 70 1119012706 177S1139E 70 1119012712 179S1129E 70 1119012712 179S1129E 70 1119012712 179S1129E 70 NNNN