WTXS51 PGTW 281500 WARNING ATCG MIL 11S SIO 190128130747 2019012812 11S RILEY 020 01 255 09 SATL 030 T000 184S 1089E 060 R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 085 NW QD T012 188S 1073E 055 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD T024 193S 1057E 045 R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD T036 198S 1040E 040 R034 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD T048 202S 1021E 035 R034 040 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD T072 202S 0988E 030 AMP 048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (RILEY) WARNING NR 020 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (RILEY) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z --- NEAR 18.4S 108.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4S 108.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 18.8S 107.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 19.3S 105.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 19.8S 104.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 20.2S 102.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 20.2S 98.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 281500Z POSITION NEAR 18.5S 108.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11S (RILEY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z, 290900Z AND 291500Z.// 1119012212 121S1261E 20 1119012218 127S1252E 20 1119012300 138S1243E 25 1119012306 147S1237E 30 1119012312 156S1229E 30 1119012318 165S1217E 35 1119012400 167S1208E 40 1119012406 166S1201E 40 1119012412 166S1197E 40 1119012418 167S1193E 45 1119012500 168S1188E 55 1119012500 168S1188E 55 1119012506 169S1182E 60 1119012506 169S1182E 60 1119012512 169S1180E 65 1119012512 169S1180E 65 1119012512 169S1180E 65 1119012518 170S1177E 70 1119012518 170S1177E 70 1119012518 170S1177E 70 1119012600 172S1174E 65 1119012600 172S1174E 65 1119012606 175S1170E 60 1119012606 175S1170E 60 1119012612 177S1163E 55 1119012612 177S1163E 55 1119012618 176S1156E 60 1119012618 176S1156E 60 1119012700 175S1148E 65 1119012700 175S1148E 65 1119012700 175S1148E 65 1119012706 177S1139E 70 1119012706 177S1139E 70 1119012706 177S1139E 70 1119012712 179S1128E 70 1119012712 179S1128E 70 1119012712 179S1128E 70 1119012718 180S1115E 70 1119012718 180S1115E 70 1119012718 180S1115E 70 1119012800 181S1107E 70 1119012800 181S1107E 70 1119012800 181S1107E 70 1119012806 182S1098E 65 1119012806 182S1098E 65 1119012806 182S1098E 65 1119012812 184S1089E 60 1119012812 184S1089E 60 NNNN