WTXS51 PGTW 051500 WARNING ATCG MIL 12S SIO 190205132238 2019020512 12S TWELVE 001 01 235 09 SATL 030 T000 156S 0645E 035 R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 000 NW QD T012 164S 0638E 045 R034 095 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD T024 170S 0637E 060 R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD T036 182S 0644E 075 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 160 NW QD T048 200S 0657E 090 R064 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 170 NW QD T072 249S 0695E 105 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 200 SE QD 120 SW QD 170 NW QD T096 319S 0746E 070 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 270 SE QD 170 SW QD 220 NW QD AMP 072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 096HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (TWELVE) WARNING NR 001 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (TWELVE) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z --- NEAR 15.6S 64.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S 64.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 16.4S 63.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 17.0S 63.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 18.2S 64.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 20.0S 65.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 24.9S 69.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 21 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 31.9S 74.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 051500Z POSITION NEAR 15.8S 64.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 12S (TWELVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 492 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z.// 1219020400 131S 700E 20 1219020406 134S 692E 20 1219020412 138S 680E 25 1219020418 144S 671E 30 1219020500 148S 660E 30 1219020506 151S 653E 30 1219020512 156S 645E 35 NNNN