WTXS52 PGTW 182100 WARNING ATCG MIL 12S SIO 210118195205 2021011818 12S ELOISE 004 02 265 20 SATL 025 T000 141S 0530E 050 R050 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 075 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD T012 149S 0512E 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD T024 152S 0498E 045 R034 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T036 155S 0484E 040 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD T048 161S 0462E 030 T072 182S 0423E 035 R034 040 NE QD 070 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD T096 200S 0387E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD T120 220S 0356E 060 R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z --- NEAR 14.1S 53.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S 53.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 14.9S 51.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 15.2S 49.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 15.5S 48.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 16.1S 46.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 18.2S 42.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 20.0S 38.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 22.0S 35.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 182100Z POSITION NEAR 14.3S 52.6E. 18JAN21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 428 NM NORTHEAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z AND 192100Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // 1221011218 126S 826E 25 1221011300 127S 813E 20 1221011306 128S 804E 20 1221011312 131S 789E 20 1221011318 135S 777E 20 1221011400 136S 764E 25 1221011406 133S 751E 25 1221011412 122S 735E 25 1221011418 116S 723E 20 1221011500 112S 715E 20 1221011506 115S 702E 20 1221011512 118S 687E 25 1221011518 120S 676E 25 1221011600 122S 667E 30 1221011606 124S 660E 30 1221011612 125S 652E 30 1221011618 125S 644E 30 1221011700 126S 633E 30 1221011706 126S 621E 35 1221011712 130S 612E 35 1221011718 132S 596E 40 1221011800 135S 581E 45 1221011806 137S 566E 45 1221011812 139S 550E 50 1221011812 139S 550E 50 1221011818 141S 530E 50 1221011818 141S 530E 50 NNNN