WTXS52 PGTW 190900 WARNING ATCG MIL 12S SIO 210119083632 2021011906 12S ELOISE 005 02 235 04 SATL 035 T000 145S 0517E 050 R050 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 065 SE QD 085 SW QD 080 NW QD T012 149S 0502E 045 R034 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD T024 154S 0484E 035 R034 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 162S 0463E 030 T048 173S 0443E 035 R034 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 080 NW QD T072 192S 0408E 055 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 100 NW QD T096 214S 0372E 070 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD T120 236S 0345E 060 R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE) WARNING NR 005 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z --- NEAR 14.5S 51.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S 51.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 14.9S 50.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 15.4S 48.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 16.2S 46.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 17.3S 44.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 19.2S 40.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 21.4S 37.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 23.6S 34.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 190900Z POSITION NEAR 14.6S 51.3E. 1221011218 126S 826E 25 1221011300 127S 813E 20 1221011306 128S 804E 20 1221011312 131S 789E 20 1221011318 135S 777E 20 1221011400 136S 764E 25 1221011406 133S 751E 25 1221011412 122S 735E 25 1221011418 116S 723E 20 1221011500 112S 715E 20 1221011506 115S 702E 20 1221011512 118S 687E 25 1221011518 120S 676E 25 1221011600 122S 667E 30 1221011606 124S 660E 30 1221011612 125S 652E 30 1221011618 125S 644E 30 1221011700 126S 633E 30 1221011706 126S 621E 35 1221011712 130S 612E 35 1221011718 132S 596E 40 1221011800 135S 581E 45 1221011806 137S 566E 45 1221011812 139S 550E 50 1221011812 139S 550E 50 1221011818 141S 530E 50 1221011818 141S 530E 50 1221011900 143S 520E 45 1221011906 145S 517E 50 1221011906 145S 517E 50 NNNN