WTXS52 PGTW 212100 WARNING ATCG MIL 12S SIO 210121201742 2021012118 12S ELOISE 010 03 240 13 SATL 060 T000 178S 0407E 045 R034 110 NE QD 095 SE QD 090 SW QD 105 NW QD T012 186S 0384E 060 R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 090 NW QD T024 194S 0363E 075 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 070 NW QD T036 203S 0343E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD T048 209S 0326E 060 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD T072 223S 0299E 040 T096 229S 0270E 030 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE) WARNING NR 010 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z --- NEAR 17.8S 40.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S 40.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 18.6S 38.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 19.4S 36.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 20.3S 34.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 20.9S 32.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 22.3S 29.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 22.9S 27.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 212100Z POSITION NEAR 18.0S 40.1E. 21JAN21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTH OF EUROPA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 1221011218 126S 826E 25 1221011300 127S 813E 20 1221011306 128S 804E 20 1221011312 131S 789E 20 1221011318 135S 777E 20 1221011400 136S 764E 25 1221011406 133S 751E 25 1221011412 122S 735E 25 1221011418 116S 723E 20 1221011500 112S 715E 20 1221011506 115S 702E 20 1221011512 118S 687E 25 1221011518 120S 676E 25 1221011600 122S 667E 30 1221011606 124S 660E 30 1221011612 125S 652E 30 1221011618 125S 644E 30 1221011700 126S 633E 30 1221011706 126S 621E 35 1221011712 130S 612E 35 1221011718 132S 596E 40 1221011800 135S 581E 45 1221011806 137S 566E 45 1221011812 139S 550E 50 1221011812 139S 550E 50 1221011818 141S 530E 50 1221011818 141S 530E 50 1221011900 143S 520E 45 1221011906 145S 517E 50 1221011906 145S 517E 50 1221011912 152S 510E 50 1221011912 152S 510E 50 1221011918 153S 501E 45 1221012000 155S 496E 40 1221012006 156S 480E 35 1221012012 153S 465E 35 1221012018 157S 450E 35 1221012100 162S 440E 40 1221012106 167S 428E 40 1221012112 172S 419E 45 1221012118 178S 407E 45 NNNN