WTXS52 PGTW 061500 WARNING ATCG MIL 13S SIO 190206141445 2019020612 13S GELENA 003 02 180 02 SATL 040 T000 123S 0534E 045 R034 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 080 SW QD 065 NW QD T012 124S 0534E 055 R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 110 NW QD T024 128S 0536E 065 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 120 NW QD T036 144S 0547E 075 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 120 NW QD T048 161S 0564E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 110 NW QD T072 200S 0618E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD T096 234S 0682E 070 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 080 NW QD T120 272S 0744E 055 R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (GELENA) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (GELENA) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z --- NEAR 12.3S 53.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3S 53.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 12.4S 53.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 12.8S 53.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 14.4S 54.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 16.1S 56.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 20.0S 61.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 17 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 23.4S 68.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 27.2S 74.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 061500Z POSITION NEAR 12.3S 53.4E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (GELENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 504 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z, 070300Z, 070900Z AND 071500Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // 1319020418 121S 559E 20 1319020500 124S 557E 20 1319020506 126S 553E 25 1319020512 127S 549E 25 1319020518 128S 544E 30 1319020600 124S 537E 35 1319020606 121S 534E 40 1319020612 123S 534E 45 NNNN