WTXS52 PGTW 081500 WARNING ATCG MIL 13S SIO 190208142922 2019020812 13S GELENA 011 02 130 08 SATL 025 T000 157S 0553E 105 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 115 SE QD 085 SW QD 125 NW QD T012 174S 0573E 120 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 130 NW QD T024 190S 0599E 130 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD T036 203S 0624E 115 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD T048 214S 0646E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD T072 234S 0677E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD T096 242S 0704E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD T120 244S 0739E 035 R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (GELENA) WARNING NR 011 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (GELENA) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z --- NEAR 15.7S 55.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S 55.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 17.4S 57.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 19.0S 59.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z --- 20.3S 62.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 21.4S 64.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 23.4S 67.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 24.2S 70.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z --- 24.4S 73.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 081500Z POSITION NEAR 16.1S 55.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 13S (GELENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 288 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z, 090300Z, 090900Z AND 091500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (FUNANI) 1319020418 121S 559E 20 1319020500 124S 557E 20 1319020506 126S 553E 25 1319020512 127S 549E 25 1319020518 128S 544E 30 1319020600 124S 537E 35 1319020606 121S 534E 40 1319020612 122S 532E 45 1319020618 124S 531E 55 1319020618 124S 531E 55 1319020700 125S 531E 65 1319020700 125S 531E 65 1319020700 125S 531E 65 1319020706 125S 534E 70 1319020706 125S 534E 70 1319020706 125S 534E 70 1319020712 131S 537E 75 1319020712 131S 537E 75 1319020712 131S 537E 75 1319020718 137S 539E 80 1319020718 137S 539E 80 1319020718 137S 539E 80 1319020800 145S 542E 80 1319020800 145S 542E 80 1319020800 145S 542E 80 1319020806 152S 547E 100 1319020806 152S 547E 100 1319020806 152S 547E 100 1319020812 157S 553E 105 1319020812 157S 553E 105 1319020812 157S 553E 105 NNNN