WTXS51 PGTW 052100 WARNING ATCG MIL 13S SIO 200205195635 2020020518 13S FRANCISCO 003 01 110 09 SATL 040 T000 176S 0703E 040 R034 095 NE QD 170 SE QD 120 SW QD 070 NW QD T012 184S 0709E 040 R034 080 NE QD 185 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD T024 189S 0708E 035 R034 055 NE QD 190 SE QD 105 SW QD 040 NW QD T036 192S 0700E 035 R034 045 NE QD 195 SE QD 105 SW QD 030 NW QD T048 193S 0691E 030 AMP 036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (FRANCISCO) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (FRANCISCO) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z --- NEAR 17.6S 70.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6S 70.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 18.4S 70.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 18.9S 70.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 19.2S 70.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 19.3S 69.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 052100Z POSITION NEAR 17.8S 70.4E. 05FEB20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (FRANCISCO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 643 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z AND 062100Z. // 1320020312 137S 643E 25 1320020318 140S 646E 25 1320020400 143S 649E 25 1320020406 146S 651E 25 1320020412 152S 657E 30 1320020418 158S 664E 35 1320020500 164S 672E 35 1320020506 169S 683E 40 1320020512 173S 694E 45 1320020518 176S 703E 40 NNNN