WTXS51 PGTW 211500 WARNING ATCG MIL 13S SIO 210121142516 2021012112 13S THIRTEEN 002 02 205 02 SATL 045 T000 128S 0973E 035 R034 045 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD T012 130S 0972E 035 R034 070 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD T024 134S 0972E 035 R034 070 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD T036 140S 0973E 040 R034 130 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 149S 0974E 045 R034 140 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD T072 161S 0971E 050 R050 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 150 NW QD T096 166S 0966E 050 R050 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 160 NW QD T120 168S 0956E 045 R034 140 NE QD 100 SE QD 130 SW QD 120 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 002 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z --- NEAR 12.8S 97.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S 97.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 13.0S 97.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 13.4S 97.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 14.0S 97.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 14.9S 97.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 16.1S 97.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 16.6S 96.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 16.8S 95.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 211500Z POSITION NEAR 12.8S 97.3E. 21JAN21. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 13S (THIRTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1116 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z AND 221500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 1321011900 120S1090E 15 1321011906 120S1080E 15 1321011912 125S1064E 20 1321011918 127S1047E 20 1321012000 129S1028E 25 1321012006 128S1009E 25 1321012012 128S 995E 30 1321012018 124S 985E 30 1321012100 124S 977E 35 1321012106 126S 974E 35 1321012112 128S 973E 35 NNNN