WTXS51 PGTW 230300 WARNING ATCG MIL 13S SIO 210123023115 2021012300 13S THIRTEEN 005 03 195 04 SATL 030 T000 141S 0972E 035 R034 085 NE QD 060 SE QD 105 SW QD 140 NW QD T012 149S 0972E 035 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD T024 157S 0970E 035 R034 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD T036 164S 0967E 035 R034 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD T048 172S 0964E 040 R034 030 NE QD 060 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD T072 180S 0959E 045 R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 130 NW QD T096 182S 0944E 045 R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 160 NW QD T120 173S 0911E 040 R034 170 NE QD 080 SE QD 110 SW QD 190 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 005 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z --- NEAR 14.1S 97.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S 97.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 14.9S 97.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 15.7S 97.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 16.4S 96.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 17.2S 96.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 18.0S 95.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z --- 18.2S 94.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 17.3S 91.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 230300Z POSITION NEAR 14.3S 97.2E. 23JAN21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1080 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z AND 240300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE // 1321011900 120S1090E 15 1321011906 120S1080E 15 1321011912 125S1064E 20 1321011918 127S1047E 20 1321012000 129S1028E 25 1321012006 128S1009E 25 1321012012 128S 995E 30 1321012018 124S 985E 30 1321012100 124S 977E 35 1321012106 126S 974E 35 1321012112 129S 974E 35 1321012118 130S 974E 35 1321012200 131S 973E 35 1321012206 132S 973E 35 1321012212 133S 973E 35 1321012218 137S 973E 35 1321012300 141S 972E 35 NNNN