WTXS51 PGTW 231500 WARNING ATCG MIL 13S SIO 210123135827 2021012312 13S THIRTEEN 006 02 170 07 SATL XTRP 035 T000 151S 0976E 035 R034 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 075 NW QD T012 159S 0975E 035 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD T024 167S 0971E 035 R034 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD T036 174S 0967E 035 R034 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD T048 182S 0963E 040 R034 030 NE QD 060 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD T072 187S 0953E 045 R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 130 NW QD T096 187S 0928E 045 R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 160 NW QD T120 175S 0887E 040 R034 170 NE QD 080 SE QD 110 SW QD 190 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 006 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z --- NEAR 15.1S 97.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S 97.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 15.9S 97.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 16.7S 97.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 17.4S 96.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 18.2S 96.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 18.7S 95.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 18.7S 92.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 17.5S 88.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 231500Z POSITION NEAR 15.3S 97.6E. 23JAN21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1031 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 1321011900 120S1090E 15 1321011906 120S1080E 15 1321011912 125S1064E 20 1321011918 127S1047E 20 1321012000 129S1028E 25 1321012006 128S1009E 25 1321012012 128S 995E 30 1321012018 124S 985E 30 1321012100 124S 977E 35 1321012106 126S 974E 35 1321012112 129S 974E 35 1321012118 130S 974E 35 1321012200 131S 973E 35 1321012206 132S 973E 35 1321012212 133S 973E 35 1321012218 137S 972E 35 1321012300 140S 971E 35 1321012306 144S 975E 35 1321012312 151S 976E 35 NNNN