WTXS51 PGTW 251500 WARNING ATCG MIL 13S SIO 210125142656 2021012512 13S THIRTEEN 010 01 230 06 SATL 040 T000 176S 0954E 035 R034 045 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD T012 180S 0949E 035 R034 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 020 NW QD T024 183S 0940E 040 R034 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 184S 0926E 035 R034 040 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD T048 182S 0908E 035 R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 110 SW QD 110 NW QD T072 173S 0860E 040 R034 100 NE QD 030 SE QD 090 SW QD 140 NW QD T096 166S 0809E 045 R034 120 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 160 NW QD T120 156S 0760E 045 R034 140 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 200 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 010 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z --- NEAR 17.6S 95.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6S 95.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 18.0S 94.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 18.3S 94.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z --- 18.4S 92.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 18.2S 90.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 17.3S 86.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 16.6S 80.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 15.6S 76.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 251500Z POSITION NEAR 17.7S 95.3E. 25JAN21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z AND 261500Z.// 1321011900 120S1090E 15 1321011906 120S1080E 15 1321011912 125S1064E 20 1321011918 127S1047E 20 1321012000 129S1028E 25 1321012006 128S1009E 25 1321012012 128S 995E 30 1321012018 124S 985E 30 1321012100 124S 977E 35 1321012106 126S 974E 35 1321012112 129S 974E 35 1321012118 130S 974E 35 1321012200 131S 973E 35 1321012206 132S 973E 35 1321012212 133S 973E 35 1321012218 137S 972E 35 1321012300 140S 971E 35 1321012306 144S 975E 35 1321012312 148S 976E 35 1321012318 153S 977E 30 1321012400 158S 974E 30 1321012406 161S 966E 30 1321012412 162S 963E 30 1321012418 164S 961E 30 1321012500 166S 959E 35 1321012506 172S 959E 30 1321012512 176S 954E 35 NNNN