WTXS51 PGTW 271500 WARNING ATCG MIL 13S SIO 210127132732 2021012712 13S THIRTEEN 014 01 275 10 SATL 045 T000 194S 0903E 030 T012 190S 0873E 030 T024 186S 0840E 030 T036 181S 0807E 030 T048 175S 0774E 035 R034 010 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD T072 164S 0710E 035 R034 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD T096 154S 0653E 040 R034 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD T120 148S 0606E 050 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 014 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z --- NEAR 19.4S 90.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S 90.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 19.0S 87.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 18.6S 84.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 18.1S 80.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 17.5S 77.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 16.4S 71.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 15.4S 65.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 14.8S 60.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 271500Z POSITION NEAR 19.3S 89.5E. 27JAN21. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 13S (THIRTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1861 NM EAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z AND 281500Z.// 1321011900 120S1090E 15 1321011906 120S1080E 15 1321011912 125S1064E 20 1321011918 127S1047E 20 1321012000 129S1028E 25 1321012006 128S1009E 25 1321012012 128S 995E 30 1321012018 124S 985E 30 1321012100 124S 977E 35 1321012106 126S 974E 35 1321012112 129S 974E 35 1321012118 130S 974E 35 1321012200 131S 973E 35 1321012206 132S 973E 35 1321012212 133S 973E 35 1321012218 137S 972E 35 1321012300 140S 971E 35 1321012306 144S 975E 35 1321012312 148S 976E 35 1321012318 153S 977E 30 1321012400 158S 974E 30 1321012406 161S 966E 30 1321012412 162S 963E 30 1321012418 164S 961E 30 1321012500 166S 959E 35 1321012506 172S 959E 35 1321012512 177S 958E 35 1321012518 182S 954E 35 1321012600 186S 949E 35 1321012606 189S 945E 35 1321012612 193S 941E 35 1321012618 195S 936E 35 1321012700 195S 922E 35 1321012706 195S 914E 30 1321012712 194S 903E 30 NNNN