WTPS51 PGTW 200300 WARNING ATCG MIL 15P SWP 190220021157 2019022000 15P OMA 033 01 215 05 SATL 035 T000 214S 1612E 070 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 095 SE QD 080 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 175 SE QD 150 SW QD 125 NW QD T012 220S 1605E 065 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 175 SE QD 190 SW QD 140 NW QD T024 227S 1597E 060 R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 210 SW QD 150 NW QD T036 236S 1590E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 200 SE QD 230 SW QD 170 NW QD T048 248S 1582E 055 R050 040 NE QD 070 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 240 SE QD 270 SW QD 200 NW QD T072 263S 1582E 050 R050 020 NE QD 070 SE QD 120 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 240 SE QD 260 SW QD 210 NW QD T096 265S 1595E 045 R034 120 NE QD 230 SE QD 250 SW QD 170 NW QD T120 263S 1608E 045 R034 090 NE QD 190 SE QD 180 SW QD 130 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (OMA) WARNING NR 033 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (OMA) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z --- NEAR 21.4S 161.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S 161.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 22.0S 160.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 22.7S 159.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 23.6S 159.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 24.8S 158.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 26.3S 158.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 26.5S 159.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 26.3S 160.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 200300Z POSITION NEAR 21.6S 161.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (OMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 582 NM NORTHEAST OF BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z, 201500Z, 202100Z AND 210300Z. // 1519021100 164S1603E 25 1519021106 155S1612E 25 1519021112 151S1625E 25 1519021118 144S1636E 30 1519021200 140S1645E 35 1519021206 137S1649E 35 1519021212 137S1655E 45 1519021218 140S1658E 45 1519021300 143S1654E 45 1519021306 144S1650E 45 1519021312 141S1654E 55 1519021312 141S1654E 55 1519021318 144S1654E 55 1519021318 144S1654E 55 1519021400 147S1655E 55 1519021400 147S1655E 55 1519021406 149S1655E 55 1519021406 149S1655E 55 1519021412 151S1655E 55 1519021412 151S1655E 55 1519021418 152S1654E 55 1519021418 152S1654E 55 1519021500 151S1650E 60 1519021500 151S1650E 60 1519021506 151S1651E 65 1519021506 151S1651E 65 1519021506 151S1651E 65 1519021512 152S1648E 70 1519021512 152S1648E 70 1519021512 152S1648E 70 1519021518 153S1645E 70 1519021518 153S1645E 70 1519021518 153S1645E 70 1519021600 154S1643E 70 1519021600 154S1643E 70 1519021600 154S1643E 70 1519021606 154S1642E 70 1519021606 154S1642E 70 1519021606 154S1642E 70 1519021612 153S1642E 70 1519021612 153S1642E 70 1519021612 153S1642E 70 1519021618 153S1644E 65 1519021618 153S1644E 65 1519021618 153S1644E 65 1519021700 155S1642E 65 1519021700 155S1642E 65 1519021700 155S1642E 65 1519021706 160S1643E 60 1519021706 160S1643E 60 1519021712 164S1644E 60 1519021712 164S1644E 60 1519021718 168S1644E 55 1519021718 168S1644E 55 1519021800 173S1640E 50 1519021800 173S1640E 50 1519021806 180S1636E 45 1519021812 185S1631E 50 1519021812 185S1631E 50 1519021818 190S1627E 60 1519021818 190S1627E 60 1519021900 195S1624E 75 1519021900 195S1624E 75 1519021900 195S1624E 75 1519021906 200S1621E 75 1519021906 200S1621E 75 1519021906 200S1621E 75 1519021912 205S1618E 75 1519021912 205S1618E 75 1519021912 205S1618E 75 1519021918 210S1615E 75 1519021918 210S1615E 75 1519021918 210S1615E 75 1519022000 214S1612E 70 1519022000 214S1612E 70 1519022000 214S1612E 70 NNNN