WTPS51 PGTW 300300 WARNING ATCG MIL 15P SWP 210130024212 2021013000 15P FIFTEEN 001 01 140 08 SATL 060 T000 161S 1765E 035 R034 155 NE QD 075 SE QD 025 SW QD 060 NW QD T012 167S 1775E 050 R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 140 SE QD 050 SW QD 140 NW QD T024 178S 1783E 055 R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 150 SE QD 090 SW QD 140 NW QD T036 195S 1783E 050 R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 170 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD T048 206S 1785E 050 R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 190 SE QD 130 SW QD 070 NW QD T072 238S 1793W 050 R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 070 NW QD T096 273S 1766W 040 R034 110 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 080 NW QD T120 299S 1743W 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 001 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 16.1S 176.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S 176.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 16.7S 177.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 17.8S 178.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 19.5S 178.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 20.6S 178.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 23.8S 179.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 27.3S 176.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 29.9S 174.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 16.3S 176.8E. 30JAN21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (FIFTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 162 NM NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z. // 1521012618 162S1684E 20 1521012700 162S1686E 25 1521012706 161S1688E 25 1521012712 161S1691E 25 1521012718 160S1693E 25 1521012800 156S1695E 25 1521012806 156S1701E 25 1521012812 157S1711E 25 1521012818 157S1717E 25 1521012900 157S1724E 30 1521012906 156S1732E 30 1521012912 152S1743E 30 1521012918 155S1760E 30 1521013000 161S1765E 35 NNNN