WTXS51 PGTW 150300 WARNING ATCG MIL 16S SIO 200215013758 2020021500 16S SIXTEEN 001 02 210 08 SATL 030 T000 163S 0745E 035 R034 015 NE QD 090 SE QD 065 SW QD 020 NW QD T012 175S 0742E 045 R034 050 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 020 NW QD T024 186S 0742E 055 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD T036 199S 0742E 060 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD T048 203S 0739E 055 R050 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD T072 207S 0734E 045 R034 030 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 020 NW QD T096 223S 0709E 040 R034 080 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD T120 233S 0686E 035 R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 001 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z --- NEAR 16.3S 74.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S 74.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 17.5S 74.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 18.6S 74.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 19.9S 74.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 20.3S 73.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 20.7S 73.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 22.3S 70.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 23.3S 68.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 150300Z POSITION NEAR 16.6S 74.4E. 15FEB20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (SIXTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 564 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z AND 160300Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // 1620021400 144S 749E 25 1620021406 145S 752E 25 1620021412 149S 752E 30 1620021418 156S 749E 30 1620021500 163S 745E 35 NNNN