WTPS53 PGTW 010300 WARNING ATCG MIL 17P SWP 210201013408 2021020100 17P LUCAS 005 03 110 13 SATL 035 T000 141S 1585E 050 R050 015 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 025 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD T012 154S 1618E 055 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 110 NW QD T024 173S 1645E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 105 NW QD T036 193S 1661E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD T048 211S 1666E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD T072 232S 1662E 040 R034 060 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD T096 250S 1641E 030 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (LUCAS) WARNING NR 005 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (LUCAS) WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z --- NEAR 14.1S 158.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S 158.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 15.4S 161.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 17.3S 164.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 19.3S 166.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 21.1S 166.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 23.2S 166.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 25.0S 164.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 010300Z POSITION NEAR 14.4S 159.3E. 01FEB21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (LUCAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 605 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU, HAS TRACKED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z, 011500Z, 012100Z AND 020300Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // 1721012700 150S1415E 20 1721012706 149S1418E 20 1721012712 148S1421E 20 1721012718 148S1423E 20 1721012800 147S1425E 20 1721012806 147S1427E 20 1721012812 147S1429E 20 1721012818 145S1432E 20 1721012900 142S1439E 20 1721012906 137S1449E 20 1721012912 133S1463E 20 1721012918 132S1475E 25 1721013000 133S1482E 25 1721013006 135S1492E 30 1721013012 139S1503E 30 1721013018 139S1515E 30 1721013100 139S1523E 40 1721013106 136S1538E 50 1721013112 132S1552E 55 1721013112 132S1552E 55 1721013118 137S1572E 55 1721013118 137S1572E 55 1721020100 141S1585E 50 1721020100 141S1585E 50 NNNN