WTPS53 PGTW 020300 WARNING ATCG MIL 17P SWP 210202010327 2021020200 17P LUCAS 009 02 120 11 SATL 025 T000 171S 1650E 045 R034 145 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 135 NW QD T012 190S 1667E 045 R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 080 NW QD T024 207S 1674E 045 R034 080 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 070 NW QD T036 217S 1676E 040 R034 040 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 030 NW QD T048 226S 1672E 035 R034 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD T072 243S 1651E 030 AMP 048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (LUCAS) WARNING NR 009 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (LUCAS) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z --- NEAR 17.1S 165.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1S 165.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 19.0S 166.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 20.7S 167.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 21.7S 167.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 22.6S 167.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 24.3S 165.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020300Z POSITION NEAR 17.6S 165.4E. 02FEB21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (LUCAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 306 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z, 021500Z, 022100Z AND 030300Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // 1721012700 150S1415E 20 1721012706 149S1418E 20 1721012712 148S1421E 20 1721012718 148S1423E 20 1721012800 147S1425E 20 1721012806 147S1427E 20 1721012812 147S1429E 20 1721012818 145S1432E 20 1721012900 142S1439E 20 1721012906 137S1449E 20 1721012912 133S1463E 20 1721012918 132S1475E 25 1721013000 133S1482E 25 1721013006 135S1492E 30 1721013012 139S1503E 30 1721013018 139S1515E 30 1721013100 139S1523E 40 1721013106 136S1538E 50 1721013112 132S1552E 55 1721013112 132S1552E 55 1721013118 137S1572E 55 1721013118 137S1572E 55 1721020100 141S1586E 55 1721020100 141S1586E 55 1721020106 148S1609E 60 1721020106 148S1609E 60 1721020112 157S1626E 65 1721020112 157S1626E 65 1721020112 157S1626E 65 1721020118 166S1640E 60 1721020118 166S1640E 60 1721020200 171S1650E 45 NNNN