WTPS53 PGTW 022100 WARNING ATCG MIL 17P SWP 210202191652 2021020218 17P LUCAS 012 02 155 11 SATL SYNP 015 T000 206S 1673E 040 R034 070 NE QD 105 SE QD 135 SW QD 100 NW QD T012 219S 1677E 035 R034 060 NE QD 160 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD T024 228S 1674E 030 T036 235S 1663E 025 AMP 012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (LUCAS) WARNING NR 012 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (LUCAS) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z --- NEAR 20.6S 167.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.6S 167.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 21.9S 167.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 22.8S 167.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 23.5S 166.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 022100Z POSITION NEAR 20.9S 167.4E. 02FEB21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (LUCAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 112 NM NORTHEAST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONI, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z, 030900Z, 031500Z AND 032100Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // 1721012700 150S1415E 20 1721012706 149S1418E 20 1721012712 148S1421E 20 1721012718 148S1423E 20 1721012800 147S1425E 20 1721012806 147S1427E 20 1721012812 147S1429E 20 1721012818 145S1432E 20 1721012900 142S1439E 20 1721012906 137S1449E 20 1721012912 133S1463E 20 1721012918 132S1475E 25 1721013000 133S1482E 25 1721013006 135S1492E 30 1721013012 139S1503E 30 1721013018 139S1515E 30 1721013100 139S1523E 40 1721013106 136S1538E 50 1721013112 132S1552E 55 1721013112 132S1552E 55 1721013118 137S1572E 55 1721013118 137S1572E 55 1721020100 141S1586E 55 1721020100 141S1586E 55 1721020106 148S1609E 60 1721020106 148S1609E 60 1721020112 157S1626E 65 1721020112 157S1626E 65 1721020112 157S1626E 65 1721020118 166S1640E 60 1721020118 166S1640E 60 1721020200 171S1650E 45 1721020206 184S1661E 50 1721020212 196S1668E 50 1721020218 206S1673E 40 NNNN