WTXS51 PGTW 311500 WARNING ATCG MIL 18S SIO 210131133518 2021013112 18S EIGHTEEN 001 01 240 15 SATL 060 T000 214S 1211E 030 T012 215S 1192E 030 T024 217S 1174E 030 T036 222S 1156E 030 T048 228S 1142E 035 T072 227S 1123E 050 R034 030 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD T096 227S 1111E 045 R034 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD T120 238S 1107E 040 R034 170 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 001 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z --- NEAR 21.4S 121.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S 121.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 21.5S 119.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 21.7S 117.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 22.2S 115.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 22.8S 114.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 22.7S 112.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 22.7S 111.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 23.8S 110.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 311500Z POSITION NEAR 21.4S 120.6E. 31JAN21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 394 NM EAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z. // 1821012818 159S1266E 15 1821012900 164S1261E 15 1821012906 168S1258E 20 1821012912 172S1256E 20 1821012918 176S1254E 20 1821013000 179S1251E 25 1821013006 183S1246E 30 1821013012 187S1240E 30 1821013018 192S1235E 30 1821013100 201S1229E 30 1821013106 207S1225E 30 1821013112 214S1211E 30 NNNN