WTXS51 PGTW 012100 WARNING ATCG MIL 18S SIO 210201185653 2021020118 18S EIGHTEEN 006 01 245 10 SATL RADR SYNP 025 T000 215S 1171E 030 T012 223S 1153E 030 T024 228S 1141E 030 T036 228S 1134E 035 R034 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD T048 226S 1129E 040 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD T072 233S 1119E 050 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD T096 249S 1119E 045 R034 050 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 060 NW QD T120 285S 1130E 040 R034 090 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 070 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 006 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z --- NEAR 21.5S 117.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 21.5S 117.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 22.3S 115.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 22.8S 114.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 22.8S 113.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 22.6S 112.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 23.3S 111.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 24.9S 111.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 28.5S 113.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 012100Z POSITION NEAR 21.7S 116.7E. 01FEB21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 174 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z, 020900Z, 021500Z AND 022100Z. // 1821012818 159S1266E 15 1821012900 164S1261E 15 1821012906 168S1258E 20 1821012912 172S1256E 20 1821012918 176S1254E 20 1821013000 179S1251E 25 1821013006 183S1246E 30 1821013012 187S1240E 30 1821013018 192S1235E 30 1821013100 201S1229E 30 1821013106 210S1223E 30 1821013112 214S1211E 30 1821013118 213S1202E 30 1821020100 207S1194E 30 1821020106 206S1190E 30 1821020112 211S1181E 30 1821020118 215S1171E 30 NNNN