WTXS51 PGTW 020300 WARNING ATCG MIL 18S SIO 210202005207 2021020200 18S EIGHTEEN 007 01 235 10 SATL RADR SYNP 020 T000 221S 1162E 030 T012 229S 1147E 030 T024 232S 1139E 030 T036 232S 1134E 035 R034 000 NE QD 040 SE QD 060 SW QD 010 NW QD T048 231S 1130E 040 R034 000 NE QD 040 SE QD 060 SW QD 010 NW QD T072 238S 1121E 050 R050 000 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 060 SE QD 090 SW QD 030 NW QD T096 263S 1123E 045 R034 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 060 NW QD T120 304S 1133E 040 R034 090 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 080 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 007 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z --- NEAR 22.1S 116.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 22.1S 116.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 22.9S 114.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 23.2S 113.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 23.2S 113.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 23.1S 113.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 23.8S 112.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 26.3S 112.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 30.4S 113.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 020300Z POSITION NEAR 22.3S 115.8E. 02FEB21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 117 NM EAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z, 021500Z, 022100Z AND 030300Z. // 1821012818 159S1266E 15 1821012900 164S1261E 15 1821012906 168S1258E 20 1821012912 172S1256E 20 1821012918 176S1254E 20 1821013000 179S1251E 25 1821013006 183S1246E 30 1821013012 187S1240E 30 1821013018 192S1235E 30 1821013100 201S1229E 30 1821013106 210S1223E 30 1821013112 214S1211E 30 1821013118 213S1202E 30 1821020100 207S1194E 30 1821020106 206S1190E 30 1821020112 211S1181E 30 1821020118 215S1171E 30 1821020200 221S1162E 30 NNNN