WTXS51 PGTW 141500 WARNING ATCG MIL 19S SIO 190314134306 2019031412 19S SAVANNAH 003 02 195 07 SATL 045 T000 128S 0958E 040 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD T012 139S 0956E 045 R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD T024 148S 0953E 045 R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 155S 0945E 050 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD T048 159S 0934E 055 R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD T072 166S 0916E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD T096 171S 0901E 065 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD T120 173S 0887E 065 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (SAVANNAH) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (SAVANNAH) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z --- NEAR 12.8S 95.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S 95.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z --- 13.9S 95.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 14.8S 95.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 15.5S 94.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 15.9S 93.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 16.6S 91.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 17.1S 90.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 17.3S 88.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 141500Z POSITION NEAR 13.1S 95.7E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (SAVANNAH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 10085 NM OF KEY WEST, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z, 150900Z AND 151500Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 1919031018 113S1077E 25 1919031100 109S1066E 25 1919031106 106S1053E 20 1919031112 104S1041E 20 1919031118 100S1025E 20 1919031200 100S1017E 20 1919031206 91S1002E 20 1919031212 89S 991E 20 1919031218 84S 977E 20 1919031300 87S 977E 20 1919031306 97S 975E 20 1919031312 104S 968E 25 1919031318 110S 966E 30 1919031400 115S 963E 35 1919031406 121S 960E 40 1919031412 128S 958E 40 NNNN