WTXS51 PGTW 151500 WARNING ATCG MIL 19S SIO 190315134148 2019031512 19S SAVANNAH 007 02 190 05 SATL 030 T000 144S 0948E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 055 NW QD T012 150S 0942E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD T024 156S 0932E 065 R064 005 NE QD 005 SE QD 005 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 160S 0921E 075 R064 005 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD T048 164S 0910E 080 R064 005 NE QD 005 SE QD 010 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD T072 170S 0895E 080 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD T096 176S 0882E 070 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD T120 181S 0868E 050 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (SAVANNAH) WARNING NR 007 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (SAVANNAH) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z --- NEAR 14.4S 94.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S 94.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 15.0S 94.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 15.6S 93.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 16.0S 92.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 16.4S 91.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 17.0S 89.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 17.6S 88.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 18.1S 86.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 151500Z POSITION NEAR 14.6S 94.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (SAVANNAH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM SOUTHWEST OF COCOS ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z, 160300Z, 160900Z AND 161500Z. 1919031018 113S1077E 25 1919031100 109S1066E 25 1919031106 106S1053E 20 1919031112 104S1041E 20 1919031118 100S1025E 20 1919031200 100S1017E 20 1919031206 91S1002E 20 1919031212 89S 991E 20 1919031218 84S 977E 20 1919031300 87S 977E 20 1919031306 97S 975E 20 1919031312 104S 968E 25 1919031318 110S 966E 30 1919031400 115S 963E 35 1919031406 121S 960E 40 1919031412 126S 958E 40 1919031418 131S 954E 45 1919031500 135S 951E 45 1919031506 139S 949E 50 1919031506 139S 949E 50 1919031512 144S 948E 55 1919031512 144S 948E 55 NNNN