WTXS51 PGTW 152100 WARNING ATCG MIL 19S SIO 190315200521 2019031518 19S SAVANNAH 008 01 240 06 SATL XTRP 030 T000 147S 0943E 055 R050 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 065 SE QD 070 SW QD 045 NW QD T012 153S 0935E 060 R050 000 NE QD 015 SE QD 025 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 090 SE QD 075 SW QD 040 NW QD T024 158S 0925E 065 R064 005 NE QD 005 SE QD 005 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD T036 162S 0914E 070 R064 005 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD T048 165S 0906E 075 R064 005 NE QD 005 SE QD 010 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 020 NW QD T072 170S 0891E 065 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD T096 175S 0877E 050 R050 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD T120 180S 0863E 040 R034 070 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 030 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (SAVANNAH) WARNING NR 008 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (SAVANNAH) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z --- NEAR 14.7S 94.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7S 94.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 15.3S 93.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 15.8S 92.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 16.2S 91.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 16.5S 90.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 17.0S 89.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 17.5S 87.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 18.0S 86.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 152100Z POSITION NEAR 14.9S 94.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (SAVANNAH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 218 NM SOUTHWEST OF COCOS ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z, 160900Z, 161500Z AND 162100Z.// 1919031018 113S1077E 25 1919031100 109S1066E 25 1919031106 106S1053E 20 1919031112 104S1041E 20 1919031118 100S1025E 20 1919031200 100S1017E 20 1919031206 91S1002E 20 1919031212 89S 991E 20 1919031218 84S 977E 20 1919031300 87S 977E 20 1919031306 97S 975E 20 1919031312 104S 968E 25 1919031318 110S 966E 30 1919031400 115S 963E 35 1919031406 121S 960E 40 1919031412 126S 958E 40 1919031418 131S 954E 45 1919031500 135S 951E 45 1919031506 139S 949E 50 1919031506 139S 949E 50 1919031512 144S 948E 55 1919031512 144S 948E 55 1919031518 147S 943E 55 1919031518 147S 943E 55 NNNN