WTXS51 PGTW 180300 WARNING ATCG MIL 19S SIO 190318012828 2019031800 19S SAVANNAH 017 01 240 06 SATL 015 T000 168S 0896E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 085 SE QD 095 SW QD 060 NW QD T012 173S 0883E 080 R064 015 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 095 SW QD 055 NW QD T024 177S 0869E 075 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD T036 182S 0856E 065 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD T048 186S 0846E 055 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 020 NW QD T072 197S 0826E 040 R034 040 NE QD 130 SE QD 050 SW QD 000 NW QD T096 204S 0805E 035 R034 060 NE QD 110 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD T120 210S 0775E 030 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (SAVANNAH) WARNING NR 017 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (SAVANNAH) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z --- NEAR 16.8S 89.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S 89.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 17.3S 88.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 17.7S 86.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 18.2S 85.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 18.6S 84.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 19.7S 82.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 20.4S 80.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 21.0S 77.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180300Z POSITION NEAR 16.9S 89.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (SAVANNAH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM SOUTHWEST OF COCOS ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z, 181500Z, 182100Z AND 190300Z.// 1919031018 113S1077E 25 1919031100 109S1066E 25 1919031106 106S1053E 20 1919031112 104S1041E 20 1919031118 100S1025E 20 1919031200 100S1017E 20 1919031206 91S1002E 20 1919031212 89S 991E 20 1919031218 84S 977E 20 1919031300 87S 977E 20 1919031306 97S 975E 20 1919031312 104S 968E 25 1919031318 110S 966E 30 1919031400 115S 963E 35 1919031406 121S 960E 40 1919031412 126S 958E 40 1919031418 131S 954E 45 1919031500 135S 951E 45 1919031506 139S 949E 50 1919031506 139S 949E 50 1919031512 144S 948E 55 1919031512 144S 948E 55 1919031518 147S 943E 60 1919031518 147S 943E 60 1919031600 148S 938E 60 1919031600 148S 938E 60 1919031606 151S 934E 65 1919031606 151S 934E 65 1919031606 151S 934E 65 1919031612 153S 930E 75 1919031612 153S 930E 75 1919031612 153S 930E 75 1919031618 156S 923E 85 1919031618 156S 923E 85 1919031618 156S 923E 85 1919031700 160S 916E 95 1919031700 160S 916E 95 1919031700 160S 916E 95 1919031706 161S 911E 100 1919031706 161S 911E 100 1919031706 161S 911E 100 1919031712 163S 907E 100 1919031712 163S 907E 100 1919031712 163S 907E 100 1919031718 165S 901E 95 1919031718 165S 901E 95 1919031718 165S 901E 95 1919031800 168S 896E 85 1919031800 168S 896E 85 1919031800 168S 896E 85 NNNN