WTXS52 PGTW 120900 WARNING ATCG MIL 19S SIO 210212074303 2021021206 19S FARAJI 015 01 255 11 SATL 060 T000 183S 0821E 070 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 125 SE QD 110 SW QD 070 NW QD T012 188S 0809E 060 R050 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD T024 193S 0796E 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD T036 195S 0782E 045 R034 010 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD T048 192S 0765E 040 R034 010 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD T072 184S 0724E 040 R034 010 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD T096 173S 0677E 040 R034 020 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD T120 162S 0636E 045 R034 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FARAJI) WARNING NR 015 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FARAJI) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z --- NEAR 18.3S 82.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S 82.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z --- 18.8S 80.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 19.3S 79.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z --- 19.5S 78.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 19.2S 76.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 18.4S 72.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 17.3S 67.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 16.2S 63.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 120900Z POSITION NEAR 18.4S 81.8E. 12FEB21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FARAJI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1408 NM EAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIU, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z AND 130900Z. // 1921020400 105S 801E 20 1921020406 108S 808E 20 1921020412 112S 813E 20 1921020418 116S 814E 25 1921020500 121S 814E 35 1921020506 127S 812E 40 1921020512 131S 807E 45 1921020518 133S 804E 50 1921020518 133S 804E 50 1921020600 138S 801E 50 1921020600 138S 801E 50 1921020606 140S 798E 60 1921020606 140S 798E 60 1921020612 143S 798E 70 1921020612 143S 798E 70 1921020612 143S 798E 70 1921020618 147S 796E 75 1921020618 147S 796E 75 1921020618 147S 796E 75 1921020700 149S 796E 100 1921020700 149S 796E 100 1921020700 149S 796E 100 1921020706 149S 798E 115 1921020706 149S 798E 115 1921020706 149S 798E 115 1921020712 148S 799E 110 1921020712 148S 799E 110 1921020712 148S 799E 110 1921020718 146S 802E 115 1921020718 146S 802E 115 1921020718 146S 802E 115 1921020800 143S 809E 110 1921020800 143S 809E 110 1921020800 143S 809E 110 1921020806 142S 815E 120 1921020806 142S 815E 120 1921020806 142S 815E 120 1921020812 142S 820E 135 1921020812 142S 820E 135 1921020812 142S 820E 135 1921020818 142S 825E 140 1921020818 142S 825E 140 1921020818 142S 825E 140 1921020900 141S 830E 135 1921020900 141S 830E 135 1921020900 141S 830E 135 1921020906 140S 835E 130 1921020906 140S 835E 130 1921020906 140S 835E 130 1921020912 143S 843E 120 1921020912 143S 843E 120 1921020912 143S 843E 120 1921020918 147S 846E 110 1921020918 147S 846E 110 1921020918 147S 846E 110 1921021000 150S 848E 95 1921021000 150S 848E 95 1921021000 150S 848E 95 1921021006 152S 850E 95 1921021006 152S 850E 95 1921021006 152S 850E 95 1921021012 155S 853E 90 1921021012 155S 853E 90 1921021012 155S 853E 90 1921021018 158S 853E 90 1921021018 158S 853E 90 1921021018 158S 853E 90 1921021100 161S 850E 95 1921021100 161S 850E 95 1921021100 161S 850E 95 1921021106 164S 846E 95 1921021106 164S 846E 95 1921021106 164S 846E 95 1921021112 166S 843E 90 1921021112 166S 843E 90 1921021112 166S 843E 90 1921021118 174S 837E 80 1921021118 174S 837E 80 1921021118 174S 837E 80 1921021200 180S 832E 80 1921021200 180S 832E 80 1921021200 180S 832E 80 1921021206 183S 821E 70 1921021206 183S 821E 70 1921021206 183S 821E 70 NNNN