WTXS51 PGTW 282100 WARNING ATCG MIL 21S SIO 180428195854 2018042818 21S FLAMBOYAN 003 01 240 12 SATL 060 T000 102S 0897E 045 R034 065 NE QD 095 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD T012 116S 0876E 050 R050 020 NE QD 075 SE QD 040 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 140 SE QD 115 SW QD 055 NW QD T024 130S 0860E 060 R050 030 NE QD 080 SE QD 055 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 155 SE QD 130 SW QD 075 NW QD T036 142S 0851E 065 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 180 SE QD 135 SW QD 080 NW QD T048 156S 0846E 065 R064 010 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 195 SE QD 135 SW QD 075 NW QD T072 180S 0846E 050 R050 040 NE QD 045 SE QD 025 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 220 SE QD 130 SW QD 080 NW QD T096 207S 0855E 040 R034 145 NE QD 210 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD T120 232S 0873E 035 R034 230 NE QD 200 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD AMP 120HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (FLAMBOYAN) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (FLAMBOYAN) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z --- NEAR 10.2S 89.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.2S 89.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z --- 11.6S 87.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 13.0S 86.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 14.2S 85.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 15.6S 84.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 18.0S 84.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 20.7S 85.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 23.2S 87.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 282100Z POSITION NEAR 10.6S 89.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (FLAMBOYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1037 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z AND 292100Z.// 2118042618 69S 988E 15 2118042700 71S 982E 15 2118042706 73S 976E 20 2118042712 74S 970E 25 2118042718 76S 958E 25 2118042800 82S 942E 30 2118042806 89S 925E 35 2118042812 96S 908E 40 2118042818 102S 897E 45 NNNN