WTXS51 PGTW 172100 WARNING ATCG MIL 21S SIO 210217204440 2021021718 21S GUAMBE 001 01 165 03 SATL 050 T000 219S 0375E 045 R034 125 NE QD 115 SE QD 090 SW QD 145 NW QD T012 226S 0374E 050 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD T024 233S 0369E 055 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 238S 0364E 065 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 245S 0357E 080 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 130 SE QD 130 SW QD 070 NW QD T072 266S 0356E 075 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD T096 286S 0380E 065 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 190 SW QD 170 NW QD T120 307S 0433E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 130 SE QD 150 SW QD 130 NW QD AMP 096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (GUAMBE) WARNING NR 001 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (GUAMBE) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z --- NEAR 21.9S 37.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.9S 37.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 22.6S 37.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 23.3S 36.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 23.8S 36.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 24.5S 35.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 26.6S 35.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 28.6S 38.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 30.7S 43.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 172100Z POSITION NEAR 22.1S 37.5E. 17FEB21. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (GUAMBE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 151 NM WEST OF EUROPA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z AND 182100Z.// 2121021200 229S 361E 25 2121021206 224S 353E 20 2121021212 221S 345E 20 2121021218 220S 347E 20 2121021300 221S 350E 20 2121021306 225S 351E 20 2121021312 229S 343E 20 2121021318 233S 338E 20 2121021400 233S 328E 20 2121021406 233S 323E 20 2121021412 231S 319E 20 2121021418 230S 322E 25 2121021500 228S 325E 25 2121021506 225S 332E 25 2121021512 223S 338E 25 2121021518 219S 340E 25 2121021600 216S 351E 25 2121021606 218S 358E 20 2121021612 217S 363E 20 2121021618 212S 366E 25 2121021700 211S 370E 25 2121021706 213S 373E 30 2121021712 216S 374E 40 2121021718 219S 375E 45 NNNN