WTXS51 PGTW 182100 WARNING ATCG MIL 21S SIO 210218204200 2021021818 21S GUAMBE 003 01 180 06 SATL 040 T000 236S 0373E 055 R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 045 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 135 SE QD 095 SW QD 125 NW QD T012 243S 0368E 065 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW QD 090 NW QD T024 249S 0362E 075 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 150 SE QD 150 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 257S 0358E 085 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD T048 268S 0359E 085 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 110 NW QD T072 304S 0400E 070 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD 180 SW QD 170 NW QD T096 333S 0476E 055 R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 180 SW QD 140 NW QD AMP 072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 096HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (GUAMBE) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (GUAMBE) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z --- NEAR 23.6S 37.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.6S 37.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 24.3S 36.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 24.9S 36.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 25.7S 35.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 26.8S 35.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 30.4S 40.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 18 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 33.3S 47.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 182100Z POSITION NEAR 23.8S 37.2E. 18FEB21. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (GUAMBE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 181 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF EUROPA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z AND 192100Z.// 2121021200 229S 361E 25 2121021206 224S 353E 20 2121021212 221S 345E 20 2121021218 220S 347E 20 2121021300 221S 350E 20 2121021306 225S 351E 20 2121021312 229S 343E 20 2121021318 233S 338E 20 2121021400 233S 328E 20 2121021406 233S 323E 20 2121021412 231S 319E 20 2121021418 230S 322E 25 2121021500 228S 325E 25 2121021506 225S 332E 25 2121021512 223S 338E 25 2121021518 219S 340E 25 2121021600 216S 351E 25 2121021606 218S 358E 20 2121021612 217S 363E 20 2121021618 212S 366E 25 2121021700 211S 370E 25 2121021706 213S 373E 30 2121021712 215S 374E 40 2121021718 217S 374E 45 2121021800 221S 374E 45 2121021806 225S 373E 50 2121021806 225S 373E 50 2121021812 230S 373E 50 2121021818 236S 373E 55 2121021818 236S 373E 55 NNNN