WTXS51 PGTW 201500 WARNING ATCG MIL 21S SIO 210220133315 2021022012 21S GUAMBE 007 01 160 05 SATL 025 T000 265S 0365E 065 R064 015 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 055 NW QD T012 278S 0370E 065 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 100 NW QD T024 296S 0387E 070 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 130 SW QD 120 NW QD T036 319S 0424E 075 R064 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 180 SE QD 230 SW QD 170 NW QD T048 344S 0484E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 240 SE QD 270 SW QD 190 NW QD T072 379S 0612E 045 R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD AMP 048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 072HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (GUAMBE) WARNING NR 007 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (GUAMBE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z --- NEAR 26.5S 36.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.5S 36.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 27.8S 37.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 29.6S 38.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 31.9S 42.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 34.4S 48.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 37.9S 61.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 201500Z POSITION NEAR 26.8S 36.6E. 20FEB21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (GUAMBE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 154 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MAXIXE, MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z AND 211500Z. // 2121021200 229S 361E 25 2121021206 224S 353E 20 2121021212 221S 345E 20 2121021218 220S 347E 20 2121021300 221S 350E 20 2121021306 225S 351E 20 2121021312 229S 343E 20 2121021318 233S 338E 20 2121021400 233S 328E 20 2121021406 233S 323E 20 2121021412 231S 319E 20 2121021418 230S 322E 25 2121021500 228S 325E 25 2121021506 225S 332E 25 2121021512 223S 338E 25 2121021518 219S 340E 25 2121021600 216S 351E 25 2121021606 218S 358E 20 2121021612 217S 363E 20 2121021618 212S 366E 25 2121021700 211S 370E 25 2121021706 213S 373E 30 2121021712 215S 374E 40 2121021718 217S 374E 45 2121021800 221S 374E 45 2121021806 226S 376E 50 2121021806 226S 376E 50 2121021812 230S 375E 50 2121021818 236S 374E 60 2121021818 236S 374E 60 2121021900 241S 372E 65 2121021900 241S 372E 65 2121021900 241S 372E 65 2121021906 244S 368E 70 2121021906 244S 368E 70 2121021906 244S 368E 70 2121021912 249S 365E 85 2121021912 249S 365E 85 2121021912 249S 365E 85 2121021918 252S 364E 85 2121021918 252S 364E 85 2121021918 252S 364E 85 2121022000 257S 363E 75 2121022000 257S 363E 75 2121022000 257S 363E 75 2121022006 260S 363E 70 2121022006 260S 363E 70 2121022006 260S 363E 70 2121022012 265S 365E 65 2121022012 265S 365E 65 2121022012 265S 365E 65 NNNN