WTXS51 PGTW 280300 WARNING ATCG MIL 22S SIO 210228013348 2021022800 22S MARIAN 005 01 230 09 SATL 040 T000 169S 0920E 080 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 150 SW QD 160 NW QD T012 175S 0911E 085 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 180 SE QD 170 SW QD 130 NW QD T024 179S 0903E 085 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD 160 SW QD 130 NW QD T036 183S 0898E 080 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD 150 SW QD 130 NW QD T048 185S 0898E 075 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD 150 SW QD 130 NW QD T072 191S 0911E 065 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 140 NW QD T096 199S 0933E 060 R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 130 NW QD T120 217S 0962E 055 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (MARIAN) WARNING NR 005 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (MARIAN) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z --- NEAR 16.9S 92.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S 92.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 17.5S 91.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 17.9S 90.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 18.3S 89.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.5S 89.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 19.1S 91.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 19.9S 93.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 21.7S 96.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 280300Z POSITION NEAR 17.1S 91.8E. 28FEB21. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22S (MARIAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 405 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z AND 010300Z.// 2221022318 130S1163E 20 2221022400 125S1150E 25 2221022406 126S1128E 25 2221022412 125S1111E 25 2221022418 125S1088E 25 2221022500 127S1069E 25 2221022506 131S1055E 25 2221022512 135S1043E 30 2221022518 139S1028E 30 2221022600 142S1004E 45 2221022606 145S 985E 50 2221022606 145S 985E 50 2221022612 146S 970E 60 2221022612 146S 970E 60 2221022618 146S 960E 60 2221022618 146S 960E 60 2221022700 148S 950E 65 2221022700 148S 950E 65 2221022700 148S 950E 65 2221022706 153S 941E 65 2221022706 153S 941E 65 2221022706 153S 941E 65 2221022712 159S 933E 70 2221022712 159S 933E 70 2221022712 159S 933E 70 2221022718 163S 927E 75 2221022718 163S 927E 75 2221022718 163S 927E 75 2221022800 169S 920E 80 2221022800 169S 920E 80 2221022800 169S 920E 80 NNNN