WTXS51 PGTW 030300 WARNING ATCG MIL 22S SIO 210303014304 2021030300 22S MARIAN 011 01 120 04 SATL 060 T000 189S 0909E 080 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 125 SE QD 090 SW QD 115 NW QD T012 194S 0921E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 130 NW QD T024 203S 0933E 065 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 120 NW QD T036 217S 0944E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 110 NW QD T048 231S 0953E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD T072 256S 0964E 045 R034 100 NE QD 180 SE QD 170 SW QD 090 NW QD T096 277S 0973E 030 AMP 072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 096HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (MARIAN) WARNING NR 011 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (MARIAN) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z --- NEAR 18.9S 90.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S 90.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 19.4S 92.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 20.3S 93.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 21.7S 94.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 23.1S 95.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 25.6S 96.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 27.7S 97.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 030300Z POSITION NEAR 19.0S 91.2E. 03MAR21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (MARIAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1317 NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z AND 040300Z.// 2221022318 130S1163E 20 2221022400 125S1150E 25 2221022406 126S1128E 25 2221022412 125S1111E 25 2221022418 125S1088E 25 2221022500 127S1069E 25 2221022506 131S1055E 25 2221022512 135S1043E 30 2221022518 139S1028E 30 2221022600 142S1004E 45 2221022606 145S 985E 50 2221022606 145S 985E 50 2221022612 146S 970E 60 2221022612 146S 970E 60 2221022618 146S 960E 60 2221022618 146S 960E 60 2221022700 148S 950E 65 2221022700 148S 950E 65 2221022700 148S 950E 65 2221022706 153S 941E 65 2221022706 153S 941E 65 2221022706 153S 941E 65 2221022712 159S 933E 70 2221022712 159S 933E 70 2221022712 159S 933E 70 2221022718 163S 927E 75 2221022718 163S 927E 75 2221022718 163S 927E 75 2221022800 168S 921E 85 2221022800 168S 921E 85 2221022800 168S 921E 85 2221022806 171S 917E 95 2221022806 171S 917E 95 2221022806 171S 917E 95 2221022812 175S 912E 105 2221022812 175S 912E 105 2221022812 175S 912E 105 2221022818 177S 909E 95 2221022818 177S 909E 95 2221022818 177S 909E 95 2221030100 179S 903E 90 2221030100 179S 903E 90 2221030100 179S 903E 90 2221030106 180S 899E 90 2221030106 180S 899E 90 2221030106 180S 899E 90 2221030112 182S 897E 85 2221030112 182S 897E 85 2221030112 182S 897E 85 2221030118 184S 895E 90 2221030118 184S 895E 90 2221030118 184S 895E 90 2221030200 185S 895E 90 2221030200 185S 895E 90 2221030200 185S 895E 90 2221030206 186S 896E 90 2221030206 186S 896E 90 2221030206 186S 896E 90 2221030212 187S 898E 90 2221030212 187S 898E 90 2221030212 187S 898E 90 2221030218 187S 905E 85 2221030218 187S 905E 85 2221030218 187S 905E 85 2221030300 189S 909E 80 2221030300 189S 909E 80 2221030300 189S 909E 80 NNNN