WTXS51 PGTW 031500 WARNING ATCG MIL 22S SIO 210303130424 2021030312 22S MARIAN 012 01 105 07 SATL 025 T000 193S 0921E 050 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD T012 203S 0932E 045 R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 110 NW QD T024 215S 0942E 040 R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 110 NW QD T036 230S 0951E 040 R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD T048 244S 0958E 040 R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW QD 100 NW QD T072 269S 0968E 035 R034 060 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 060 NW QD T096 284S 0974E 030 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (MARIAN) WARNING NR 012 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (MARIAN) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z --- NEAR 19.3S 92.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S 92.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 20.3S 93.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 21.5S 94.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 23.0S 95.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 24.4S 95.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 26.9S 96.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 28.4S 97.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 031500Z POSITION NEAR 19.6S 92.4E. 03MAR21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (MARIAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1235 NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z AND 041500Z. // 2221022318 130S1163E 20 2221022400 125S1150E 25 2221022406 126S1128E 25 2221022412 125S1111E 25 2221022418 125S1088E 25 2221022500 127S1069E 25 2221022506 131S1055E 25 2221022512 135S1043E 30 2221022518 139S1028E 30 2221022600 142S1004E 45 2221022606 145S 985E 50 2221022606 145S 985E 50 2221022612 146S 970E 60 2221022612 146S 970E 60 2221022618 146S 960E 60 2221022618 146S 960E 60 2221022700 148S 950E 65 2221022700 148S 950E 65 2221022700 148S 950E 65 2221022706 153S 941E 65 2221022706 153S 941E 65 2221022706 153S 941E 65 2221022712 159S 933E 70 2221022712 159S 933E 70 2221022712 159S 933E 70 2221022718 163S 927E 75 2221022718 163S 927E 75 2221022718 163S 927E 75 2221022800 168S 921E 85 2221022800 168S 921E 85 2221022800 168S 921E 85 2221022806 171S 917E 95 2221022806 171S 917E 95 2221022806 171S 917E 95 2221022812 175S 912E 105 2221022812 175S 912E 105 2221022812 175S 912E 105 2221022818 177S 909E 95 2221022818 177S 909E 95 2221022818 177S 909E 95 2221030100 179S 903E 90 2221030100 179S 903E 90 2221030100 179S 903E 90 2221030106 180S 899E 90 2221030106 180S 899E 90 2221030106 180S 899E 90 2221030112 182S 897E 85 2221030112 182S 897E 85 2221030112 182S 897E 85 2221030118 184S 895E 90 2221030118 184S 895E 90 2221030118 184S 895E 90 2221030200 185S 895E 90 2221030200 185S 895E 90 2221030200 185S 895E 90 2221030206 186S 896E 90 2221030206 186S 896E 90 2221030206 186S 896E 90 2221030212 187S 898E 90 2221030212 187S 898E 90 2221030212 187S 898E 90 2221030218 188S 903E 85 2221030218 188S 903E 85 2221030218 188S 903E 85 2221030300 189S 909E 80 2221030300 189S 909E 80 2221030300 189S 909E 80 2221030306 191S 914E 65 2221030306 191S 914E 65 2221030306 191S 914E 65 2221030312 193S 921E 50 2221030312 193S 921E 50 NNNN