WTPS51 PGTW 012100 WARNING ATCG MIL 23P SWP 210301202425 2021030118 23P NIRAN 004 01 030 09 SATL 035 T000 153S 1474E 045 R034 065 NE QD 055 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD T012 150S 1482E 050 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD T024 154S 1492E 055 R050 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 060 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 155S 1495E 060 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD T048 156S 1498E 065 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 130 NW QD T072 164S 1520E 070 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 140 NW QD T096 191S 1568E 065 R064 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 140 SE QD 150 SW QD 170 NW QD T120 226S 1638E 060 R050 120 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (NIRAN) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (NIRAN) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z --- NEAR 15.3S 147.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S 147.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 15.0S 148.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 15.4S 149.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 15.5S 149.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 15.6S 149.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 16.4S 152.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 19.1S 156.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 22.6S 163.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 012100Z POSITION NEAR 15.2S 147.6E. 01MAR21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (NIRAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 133 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z AND 022100Z.// 2321022706 154S1489E 20 2321022712 159S1489E 20 2321022718 164S1488E 25 2321022800 166S1487E 25 2321022806 169S1485E 30 2321022812 171S1482E 30 2321022818 173S1477E 30 2321030100 172S1472E 35 2321030106 167S1468E 35 2321030112 161S1469E 40 2321030118 153S1474E 45 NNNN