WTPS51 PGTW 021500 WARNING ATCG MIL 23P SWP 210302125233 2021030212 23P NIRAN 007 01 090 02 SATL RADR SYNP 020 T000 148S 1482E 055 R050 055 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 145 SE QD 140 SW QD 080 NW QD T012 149S 1487E 055 R050 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 070 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD T024 151S 1491E 055 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 060 SE QD 080 SW QD 120 NW QD T036 155S 1501E 060 R050 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 190 NW QD T048 164S 1523E 065 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 110 SE QD 120 SW QD 220 NW QD T072 200S 1595E 070 R064 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 180 SE QD 180 SW QD 240 NW QD T096 254S 1693E 080 R064 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 200 SE QD 170 SW QD 220 NW QD T120 319S 1796W 065 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 020 SE QD 060 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 140 SE QD 140 SW QD 180 NW QD AMP 120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (NIRAN) WARNING NR 007 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (NIRAN) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z --- NEAR 14.8S 148.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S 148.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 14.9S 148.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 15.1S 149.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 15.5S 150.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 16.4S 152.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 20.0S 159.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 26 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 25.4S 169.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 31.9S 179.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 021500Z POSITION NEAR 14.8S 148.3E. 02MAR21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (NIRAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 187 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z, 030300Z, 030900Z AND 031500Z. // 2321022706 154S1489E 20 2321022712 159S1489E 20 2321022718 164S1488E 25 2321022800 166S1487E 25 2321022806 169S1485E 30 2321022812 171S1482E 30 2321022818 173S1477E 30 2321030100 172S1472E 35 2321030106 167S1468E 35 2321030112 161S1469E 40 2321030118 155S1473E 45 2321030200 150S1477E 50 2321030200 150S1477E 50 2321030206 148S1480E 50 2321030206 148S1480E 50 2321030212 148S1482E 55 2321030212 148S1482E 55 NNNN