WTPN51 PGTW 201500 WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 201020143915 2020102012 19W SAUDEL 007 02 265 09 SATL SYNP XTRP 040 T000 158N 1223E 040 R034 130 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 105 NW QD T012 160N 1196E 040 R034 130 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 170 NW QD T024 162N 1181E 045 R034 130 NE QD 050 SE QD 080 SW QD 160 NW QD T036 167N 1171E 050 R050 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 090 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD T048 172N 1165E 055 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 090 SE QD 120 SW QD 190 NW QD T072 174N 1148E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 090 SE QD 100 SW QD 180 NW QD T096 176N 1112E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD T120 175N 1077E 050 R034 070 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 070 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 007 1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z --- NEAR 15.8N 122.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 122.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 16.0N 119.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 16.2N 118.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 16.7N 117.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 17.2N 116.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 17.4N 114.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 17.6N 111.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 17.5N 107.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 201500Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 121.6E. 1920101600 48N1476E 15 1920101606 50N1460E 15 1920101612 54N1446E 15 1920101618 60N1425E 15 1920101700 75N1410E 15 1920101706 84N1400E 15 1920101712 95N1391E 15 1920101718 103N1379E 20 1920101800 108N1364E 20 1920101806 114N1349E 20 1920101812 122N1335E 20 1920101818 132N1317E 20 1920101900 138N1296E 25 1920101906 140N1283E 30 1920101912 144N1271E 30 1920101918 150N1261E 30 1920102000 156N1249E 35 1920102006 159N1232E 40 1920102012 158N1223E 40 NNNN